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Confidence level 2007-11-19
From Fara:
It is common for public opinion polls to have a " confidence level" of 95%, meaning that there is a 0.95 probability that the poll results are accurate within the claimed margins of error. If six different organizations conduct independent polls, what is the probability that all six of them are accurate within the claimed margins of error? Does the results suggest that with a confidence level of 95%, we can expect that almost all polls will be within the claimed margin of error?
Answered by Harley Weston.
 
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